(shown on the image below) indicate potential threats from now through the next few hours. Current Hazards. Cool nights and mild days with abundant sunshine will make for great weather early this week with a north breeze. There is a slight risk for severe weather from New England to the Front Range of the Rockies. Shortwave trough over the northern Mid-Atlantic States early D4/Saturday is expected to continue progressing northeastward off the Northeast coast. tornado hq - live severe weather warnings, tornado solitaire - play cards while you monitor the US severe weather threat, tertremo - live view of earthquakes around the world, earthquake solitaire - get live earthquake updates as you play your favorite card game. We reached 72 degrees today after a morning low temperature of 39 degrees. This series of shortwave troughs coupled with persistent upper ridging across the western CONUS will help maintain a dry, stable air mass east of the Rockies through at least D8/Wednesday. and we'll show you the severe weather potential for a given location. Typhoon Vamco lashed the main island of Luzon in the Philippines this week causing downed trees, more than a million power outages and massive flooding. Drag the marker on the map severe weather outlook day 1; severe weather outlooks faq; mesoscale discussion; long range forecast; tropical weather; weather education. Potent low may bring hefty wintry blast to southern Ontario next week. Or you can Severe Weather Outlook. Severe Weather Outlook. Elsewhere, quiescent conditions will be pervasive over a large part of the West east into the Great Plains and the Eastern Seaboard. .PREV DISCUSSIONâ¦ /ISSUED 1025 AM CST Wed Dec 02 2020/. Severe weather … We just cannot seem to catch a break. Forecast soundings indicate near surface-based parcels could reach as far north as the barrier islands or mainland beaches of MS/AL late Thursday night/early Friday morning. view all severe outlooks on one page →. Nevertheless, some risk for a couple of storms capable of producing damaging winds, hail and possibly a tornado will exist near the coast as large-scale forcing for ascent strengthens over the area this afternoon/evening. National Weather Maps. Radar and Forecast Information. Advection of higher theta-e air inland has resulted in MLCAPE of up to 500 J/kg along the middle TX coast with higher values offshore. Severe potential appears minimal this weekend through at least the middle of next week. SWO started as a spinoff project of The windy weather will continue Wednesday, September 30 while the rain tapers off to much lighter on-and-off showers. Modest moisture advection is anticipated ahead of this low and attendant cold front, with low 60s dewpoints expected across the FL Panhandle Friday afternoon and across the coastal Mid-Atlantic Friday night into Saturday morning. Thunderstorms continue to develop/intensify offshore of the middle/upper TX coast late this morning as the boundary layer air mass over the northwest Gulf of Mexico continues to slowly modify. National Severe Weather Outlook Overview of the threat for the next few days. The primary uncertainty remains the degree of storm coverage inland in advance of the eastward moving cold front, and latest CAM guidance continues to suggest the more organized storms should remain mostly offshore. Overview of the threat for the next few days. WEATHER FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. A sharp cold front and strong jet stream energy will lead to the potential for severe thunderstorms to start this week in the eastern third of the nation. Note: A severe weather area depicted in the Day 4-8 period indicates 15%, 30% or higher probability for severe thunderstorms within 25 miles of any point. Some of the guidance has trended less progressive with a shortwave trough and its attendant surface low, resulting in modest low-level moisture ahead of an approaching cold front. Wind profiles support a severe risk with any sustained, surface-based updrafts, but occurrence of such an updraft will depend on mesoscale factors difficult to predict at this forecast length. The type of alert issued depends on the severity and timing of the event. Australia faces severe fire risk Al Jazeera; Thanksgiving Weekend Weather Forecast: Rain, Thunderstorms in Southern U.S. | The Weather Channel ... NFL Week 12 Weather … Mild air at the start of this week in the South will set the stage for severe thunderstorms to erupt during the middle days of this week. The possibility for severe weather this weekend is already being monitored by forecasters. Surface Analysis. This January has already been colder than average for Florida, and it doesn't seem to be getting better. The most important thing to note is that Clicking any of the above images will take you directly to that outlook's detail page. For today (Monday), there is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms (level 1 on a scale of 1 to 5) from Lake Erie, through the Tennessee Valley, to the Gulf of Mexico. After a dry, lovely few weeks of weather…a stormier … A mid-level low will meander eastward from central OK to the Ozark Plateau while a belt of strong mid- to high-level southwesterly flow resides across the lower MS Valley. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future. The only severe potential appears to be early on D4/Saturday from the Carolina coast into the Delmarva. You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). Stormy pattern into Thanksgiving Weekend. Temperatures are going to be on a seesaw next week as a disturbance moves through the area. AccuWeather's Severe Weather Map provides you with a bird's eye view of all of the areas around the globe experiencing any type of severe weather. When severe weather threatens, Environment Canada issues alerts that notify those in affected areas so that they can take steps to protect themselves and their property from harm. Expectation is for this shortwave to progress eastward through the TN Valley and Southeast, eventually moving into the Mid-Atlantic States by early Saturday morning. Severe weather is forecast to slam back into New Zealand on Monday with another band of lows incoming. According to the government's Storm Prediction Center (SPC) forecast, on Thursday, January 23, a good portion of Florida is in the pathway to be hit with a strong cold front and possibly severe storms in the afternoon into the evening. Severe Weather. Severe Weather Outlook; Long Term. Share: A slow moving front that produced flooding rains and isolated severe storms this weekend will be the focus for more severe thunderstorms today (Monday). and we'll show you the severe weather potential for a given location. As the shortwave progresses eastward, it will pivot into a negative tilt while also developing strong mid-level flow from its based throughout its eastern periphery.